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The Theory That Would Not Die How Bayes Rule Cracked the Enigma Code Hunted Down Russian Submarines epub

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 The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes’ Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and
Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy by Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
  English | 2011 | ISBN: 0300169698
| 335 pages | epub | 0,6 MB
  
  Bayes’ rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by
updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is
an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok.
  In the
first-ever account of Bayes’ rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial
theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s
through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected
statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years-at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve
crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information, even breaking Germany’s Enigma code during World War
II, and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today,
Bayes’ rule is used everywhere from DNA de-coding to Homeland Security.
  
  Drawing on primary source
material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account
of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time. 						

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